Journal of System Simulation ›› 2023, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (3): 525-533.doi: 10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.21-1016

• Papers • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Research on Decision Behavior Modeling Method of Key Figures

Xiao Zheng1(), Xiaodong Peng1(), Minyu Lu2, Tiejun Liu3   

  1. 1.National Space Science Center Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China
    2.PLA 61646 Troops, Beijing 100192, China
    3.PLA 75833 Troops, Guangzhou 510510, China
  • Received:2021-09-30 Revised:2022-03-08 Online:2023-03-30 Published:2023-03-22
  • Contact: Xiaodong Peng E-mail:zhengxiao@nssc.ac.cn;pxd@nssc.ac.cn

Abstract:

The decision-making of key figures is an important factor affecting the evolution of concerned events. The research on their decision-making behavior is of great significance for the prediction of important events. For the problem of decision behavior modeling and decision propensity prediction of key figures, the character attribute and measurement methods required for character modeling are analyzed, the character decision-making process and decision-making related influencing factors are analyzed, the exploration research of decision propensity prediction method is carried out, and the prediction model of decision propensity based on comprehensive interest characteristics and psychological characteristics is constructed. Through the research on the modeling method of key figures' decision-making behavior, this paper simulates people's decision-making habits in the face of crucial events, and explores a novel method for predicting the development direction of events.

Key words: key figures, events prediction, decision-making behavior modeling, decision-making propensity prediction

CLC Number: