Abstract: According to the mooring security and early warning control requirement of the large open sea terminal, a ship mooring force prediction model based on genetic algorithm and BP network was studied. Environmental dynamic factors were considered and a model structure was determined by a weight statistics method; the learning method was improved by individual parent information and contemporary individual local gradient information; according to the improved model, a ship mooring force prediction method of the open sea terminal was proposed. The simulation results show that the performance of the prediction model has improved in the iteration number, the largest fitness and prediction accuracy. The average error is less than 10% which satisfies the actual demand well.

Key words: mooring force prediction, BP network, genetic algorithm, modeling and simulation