Multi-Agent Modeling and Simulation on China's Marine Energy Channel Security

doi:10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.17-0125

Abstract

Abstract: Security factors influencing China's offshore energy channel are analyzed, and the actual situation of China's oil import and transportation is described. Based on multi-agent modeling and simulation method, and starting at the micro level, the energy transport process is simulated and a multi-agent model of China's offshore energy channel (middle east lines) is built; and the simulation program on the NetLogo platform is conducted. The results show that the quantity of China’s VLCC is far from enough; the security impact of tropical cyclones is more serious than that of pirates; the increase proportion of carrier’s quantity is usually lower than that of the total oil transportation, while the larger the increase proportion of pirates and tropical cyclones, the faster the change proportion of total oil transportation.

Key words: energy channel, multi-agent, NetLogo, modeling and simulation

CLC Number:

TP391.9

Guo Yongchen, Shen Yang. Multi-Agent Modeling and Simulation on China's Marine Energy Channel Security[J]. Journal of System Simulation, 2019, 31(4): 655-670.

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