Journal of System Simulation ›› 2026, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (10): 2819-2839.doi: 10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.26-0128

• Simulation Modeling and Digital Twin Technology • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Mission-oriented Combat Effectiveness Evaluation Model for Intelligent Equipment System-of-systems

Zhang Long1, Huang Wenbo1, Feng Xuanming1,2, Lei Zhen1,3, Wang Ying1   

  1. 1.System Engineering Research Institute, Academy of Military Science, Beijing 100101, China
    2.Science and Technology Innovation Research Center, Army Research Institute, Beijing 100012, China
    3.Naval Aviation University, Yantai 264000, China
  • Received:2026-02-04 Revised:2026-03-02 Online:2026-10-31 Published:2026-10-20
  • Contact: Wang Ying

Abstract:

A hierarchical evolutionary adaptive learning (HEAL) framework is proposed to address the problems in the operational simulation of intelligent equipment systems under complex adversarial environments, including fragmented hierarchical decision-making, unclear mapping between algorithmic indicators and operational effectiveness, and the lack of adaptive evolution capability of simulation models. A multi-layer learning architecture that integrates robust autonomous decision-making for single units, emergent collaboration of system networks, and game-theoretic evolution of system-of-systems strategies is constructed by following the “micro-meso-macro” system-oriented hierarchical modeling paradigm. A cross-layer closed-loop coupling among learned policies, cooperative structures, and operational effectiveness is achieved by combining bottom-up behavioral abstraction with top-down rule shaping, thereby establishing an interpretable mapping relationship from algorithmic indicators to operational effectiveness indicators. Simulation results demonstrate that compared with single-layer or weakly coupled learning methods, the HEAL framework significantly improves the mission success rate and collaboration consistency, while effectively mitigating effectiveness degradation under complex disturbances. A unified and verifiable methodological framework is provided for hierarchical modeling, collaborative learning, and simulation-based evaluation of operational effectiveness for intelligent equipment systems.

Key words: intelligent equipment system, hierarchical evolutionary adaptive learning, system simulation, stochastic game, operational effectiveness evaluation, emergent collaboration

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