Abstract: In view of the current situation of coordination failure caused by different benefits of different entities in the waste reverse supply chain, based on system dynamics, a three-party evolutionary game model of residents, waste disposal institutions and production enterprises is constructed. Vensim simulation software is used to establish the stock-flow chart with the strategy selection probability as the horizontal variable. In the two cases of exogenous variable in constant and a time-trend, the simulation is carried out separately, and the strategy evolution path of the three parties is obtained without external interference. Through sensitivity analysis, the exogenous variables having a major impact on the main strategy is fixed, and a dual-drive supply chain incentive mechanism driven by garbage classification and market mechanism is designed.

Key words: waste products, reverse supply chain, incentive mechanism, simulation, waste classification