Research on Passenger Ship Evacuation Simulation Based on Social Force Model

doi:10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.21-0226

Abstract

Abstract:

Aiming at the influence of group behavior and different evacuation methods on the passenger ship evacuation process. Three evacuation methods of passengers arriving at the assembly stations with and without group behavior are provided, and the passenger assembly time, congestion area, congestion timing and duration are analyzed. The simulation results show that the group behavior has a significant effect on the passenger assembly time and increases the variation range of the passenger assembly time, and the congestion area with and without group behavior remains the same. The influences of group behavior on the congestion timing and duration are complicated, which are associated with the location of the congestion area and the response time of the group members. Evacuation analysis on the passenger ship must consider the type and severity of the accidents. The study provides a theory and decision making support for the evacuation safety design and evaluation of the passengers in the large passenger ships.

Key words: passenger ship safety, social force model, agent model, congestion area, evacuation mode

CLC Number:

TP391.9

Qimiao Xie, Shuaishuai Guo. Research on Passenger Ship Evacuation Simulation Based on Social Force Model[J]. Journal of System Simulation, 2022, 34(8): 1710-1724.

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楼梯	连接甲板(下层)	连接甲板(上层)	楼梯宽度/m
1和5	1	2	1.00
2和6	1	2	1.35
6和9	2	3	1.35
3和7	1	2	1.35
7和10	2	3	1.20
7和8	1	2	1.35

乘客初始分布位置	人数
总人口	1 014
甲板-1 吧台区	59
甲板-1 储物区	17
甲板-1 普通区	46
甲板-1 购物区	9
甲板-2 吧台区	52
甲板-2 座位区	5
甲板-2 普通区	46
甲板-2 餐厅区	251
甲板-3 座位区	107
甲板-1 集合站 A	131
甲板-1 集合站 B	55
甲板-1 集合站 C	45
甲板-2 集合站 D	191

群组人数	占总人数比例/%
1	8.8
2	15.1
3~6	40.1
7~11	36.0

参数	疏散方式
参数	I	II	III
均值/s	581.08	1 487.79	928.12
标准差/s	26.18	29.27	47.67
方差/s²	685.34	856.57	2 272.66
最小值/s	500	1 406	775
中位数/s	579	1 488	931
最大值/s	674	1 580	1 045
极差/s	174	802	270
P₅/s	540	1 440	844
P₅₀/s	579	1 488	931
P₉₅/s	628	1 539	1 006
均值/s	581.08	1 487.79	928.12

拥堵区域	拥堵持续时间/s	占比总疏散时间/%
I-a	270	43.03
II-a	460	50.52
II-b	170	18.67
III-a	350	34.79
III-b	320	31.81