Simulation Model of Forest Fire Spread Based on Swarm Intelligence

doi:10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.21-0171

Abstract

Abstract:

Aiming at the shortcomings of high computational complexity and low simulation accuracy of traditional forest fire spread model, a forest fire spread simulation model based on swarm intelligence is proposed.By establishing fuel factor matrix and landform factor matrix, and combining with the real-time meteorological information, the computational complexity is reduced; the spread behavior of the forest fire is abstracted as the cluster behavior of each module fire point, and the correlation between modules is considered to improve the accuracy of forest fire spread simulation model.The model is compared with Wang Zhengfei model and two-dimensional cellular automata model. The results show that the model has high accuracy and can simulate the trend of the forest fire spread more accurately.

Key words: forest fire, forest fire spreading, swarm intelligence, influence factor matrix, simulation model

CLC Number:

TP391

Aibin Chen, Fubo Ding, Guoxiong Zhou, Bo Zhou. Simulation Model of Forest Fire Spread Based on Swarm Intelligence[J]. Journal of System Simulation, 2022, 34(7): 1439-1448.

Figures/Tables 11

Fig. 1

Fig. 2

Fig. 3

Fig. 4

Fig. 5

Fig. 6

Fig. 7

Table 1

Three models and real fire scene analysis table

时间/min	真实火场		本文模型		王正非模型		二维元胞自动机
时间/min	燃烧面积/ $m 2$	火线周长/ $m$	燃烧面积/ $m 2$	火线周长/ $m$	燃烧面积/ $m 2$	火线周长/ $m$	燃烧面积/ $m 2$	火线周长/ $m$
5	500	120	500	120	400	80	500	120
10	1 600	230	900	180	700	120	1 300	200
15	2 300	280	1 700	260	900	140	2 000	260
20	3 200	340	2 300	310	1 500	200	3 300	340
25	4 000	360	3 200	330	2 600	320	4 900	500
30	5 400	420	4 400	410	3 900	400	7 300	520
35	7 000	500	6 600	610	4 900	480	9 100	560
40	8 000	520	8 800	680	7 200	500	12 000	640
45	9 300	640	10 900	770	7 900	560	13 800	690
50	11 100	710	14 000	800	9 200	640	16 100	710
55	12 800	770	16 600	840	11 800	740	18 300	800
60	17 200	1 060	19 800	980	13 900	820	20 100	920

Table 1

Fig. 8

Fig. 9

Table 2

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类别	蔓延时间/ h	本文模型	王正非模型	二维元胞自动机
面积	0.5	18.51	27.78	34.19
面积	1.0	15.11	19.19	16.86
周长	0.5	2.38	4.76	23.81
周长	1.0	7.54	22.64	13.18

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