基于个体出行决策分析的交通流演化模型与仿真

系统仿真学报 ›› 2015, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (4): 866-874.

基于个体出行决策分析的交通流演化模型与仿真

李卓君¹, 陈星光²

1.武汉商学院信息工程系, 武汉 430056;
2.南京大学工程管理学院, 南京 210093

收稿日期:2013-12-24 修回日期:2014-09-17 发布日期:2020-08-20
作者简介:李卓君(1979-),女,湖北武汉,硕士,讲师,研究方向为软件工程。
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金项目(71471084);教育部人文社科青年基金(12YJCZH017);江苏省自然科学基金(BK2012305);武汉市教科规划专项课题(2012B008)

Model and Simulation of Traffic Flow Evolutionary Based on Individual Travel Decision Analysis

Li Zhuojun¹, Chen Xingguang²

1. Department of Information Engineering, Wuhan Business University, Wuhan 430056, China;
2. School of Management and Engineering, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China

Received:2013-12-24 Revised:2014-09-17 Published:2020-08-20

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 对城市交通出行者出行选择行为决策机理展开分析,提出了交通流演化模型,针对出行路径选择下交通流的演化过程与用户个体出行特征、外部信息三者之间的关系进行了仿真研究,结果表明:个体出行决策特征对于流量演化规律的影响比较复杂,应当将交通信息与特定的出行者人群结合起来发布与使用,才可能最大限度地发挥交通信息的作用。研究结论有助于加深对于个体出行行为的理解,对发展出有效的城市交通管理控制措施也具有积极的参考价值。

关键词: 城市交通, 出行行为, 决策, 交通信息, 演化仿真

Abstract: Travel choice behavior decision-making mechanism was analyzed at first. On this basis, a traffic evolutionary model was present and the relations between the evolutionary process of traffic flow under the route choice behavior, user individual travels decision-making characteristic parameters and external traffic information were investigated by employing simulation platform. Some significant inspiration and meaningful implications are concluded, i.e., the influential effects of individual travel decision-making parameters for flow evolution are quite complicated. The travel service information should be released and used combined with appropriate travelers to maximize the effect of traffic information. These conclusions will help to deepen understanding of the individual travel behavior, and they also have positive reference value to develop effective urban traffic management and control measures.

Key words: urban traffic, travel behavior, decision-making, traffic information, evolution simulation

中图分类号:

N945.1

李卓君, 陈星光. 基于个体出行决策分析的交通流演化模型与仿真[J]. 系统仿真学报, 2015, 27(4): 866-874.

Li Zhuojun, Chen Xingguang. Model and Simulation of Traffic Flow Evolutionary Based on Individual Travel Decision Analysis[J]. Journal of System Simulation, 2015, 27(4): 866-874.

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