Capability Dependency Analysis Based on Kill Chain and FDNA

doi:10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.23-1542

Abstract

Abstract:

To better support the operation SoS analysis, deeply analyze the impact of dependency relationship during mission accomplishment, and accurately grasp the deep logic of SoS capability generation, the capability dependency analysis method based on the kill chain and function dependency network analysis(FDNA) is proposed. Combined with the analysis of the characteristics of the capability dependency relationship, the kill chain closure and the kill web formation process are abstracted from the perspective of operational interaction, a capability dependency network modeling method for the SoS is proposed, and a specific process covering the identification of capability dependency, calculation of operability, solving of dependency parameters, and analysis & application is given under the support of operation experiments. Experimental results demonstrate the method's strong operability, feasibility, and effectiveness, providing an interpretable, traceable, qualitative, and quantitative comprehensive analysis method for the analysis of operation SoS.

Key words: functional dependence network analysis(FDNA), kill chain, capability dependency analysis, operations SoS analysis, SoS capability assessment

CLC Number:

TP391.9

Wang Yushuai, Si Guangya. Capability Dependency Analysis Based on Kill Chain and FDNA[J]. Journal of System Simulation, 2025, 37(4): 1076-1089.

Figures/Tables 16

Table 1

Fig. 1

Fig. 2

Fig. 3

Fig. 4

Table 2

Table 3

Fig. 5

Table 4

Fig. 6

Table 5

Table 6

Table 7

Results of capability dependency network parameters

$(α i j, β i j)$		接受节点
$(α i j, β i j)$		S₅	S₆	F₇	F₉	F₁₁
供给节点	S₁	(0.21, 34)	(0.18, 48)	—	—	—
	D₂	(0.18, 56)	(0.23, 59)	—	—	—
	S₃	—	—	—	(0.12, 43)	(0.11, 49)
	D₄	(0.43, 62)	(0.51, 57)	—	—	—
	S₅	—	—	(0.33, 38)	(0.03, 68)	(0.04, 64)
	S₆	—	—	(0.37, 42)	(0.06, 69)	(0.08, 65)
	F₇	—	—	—	—	—
	S₈	—	—	—	(0.43, 26)	(0.15, 81)
	S₁₀	—	—	—	(0.17, 75)	(0.39, 33)
伪R方正汇总行²检验		0.65	0.72	0.77	0.63	0.61

Table 7

Fig. 7

Fig. 8

Fig. 9

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F2T2EA	描述
Find	对作战空间进行广泛监视，以探测潜在目标并确定其特征
Fix	根据潜在目标的识别特征、精确位置信息等情报，确定其是否为交战目标
Track	持续跟踪目标，保持和更新目标的位置信息、身份信息等
Target	将目标分配给可用武器平台，为攻击做准备
Engage	结合情报信息进行机动，对目标进行攻击
Assess	评估交战结果，确定是否有必要重新攻击或采取其他后续行动

交战方	作战力量	主要作战行动
红方	天基信息系统U₁	发现蓝方目标并将情报信息发送至前沿指挥所
	前沿指挥所U₂	共享情报信息，将情报传送给预警机
	预警机编队U₃	战场态势感知，指控所属力量执行相关作战活动
	第一无人侦察编队U₄	前出抵近侦察，获取蓝方目标信息
	第二无人侦察编队U₅	前出抵近侦察，获取蓝方目标信息
	轰炸机编队U₆	接到命令后从机场起飞，对蓝方水面舰船进行远程奔袭打击
	第一战斗机编队U₇	打击蓝方空中目标，保护红方目标
	第二战斗机编队U₈	打击蓝方空中目标，保护红方目标
蓝方	预警机T₁	提供来袭战机、导弹等战场情报信息
	水面舰船T₂	在预警机支持下防空反导，打击来袭导弹和战机
	战斗机编队T₃	在预警机支持下打击来袭导弹和战机，协同防护己方目标

作战力量	能力节点
天基信息支援系统	战场感知能力S₁
前沿指挥所	指挥控制能力D₂
预警机编队	战场感知能力S₃
预警机编队	指挥控制能力D₄
第一无人侦察编队	战场感知能力S₅
第二无人侦察编队	战场感知能力S₆
轰炸机编队	火力打击能力F₇
第一战斗机编队	战场感知能力S₈
第一战斗机编队	火力打击能力F₉
第二战斗机编队	战场感知能力S₁₀
第二战斗机编队	火力打击能力F₁₁

杀伤链	蓝方目标	能力节点
KC₁	水面舰船	S₁、D₂、D₄、(S₅, S₆)、F₇
KC₂	预警机	((S₈, S₁₀), S₃)、(F₉, F₁₁)

能力节点	效能指标
S₁	发现目标时间
D₂	情报融合开始时间和结束时间
S₃	发现目标次数
D₄	情报融合开始时间和结束时间
S₅	有效跟踪目标时长
S₆	有效跟踪目标时长
F₇	对目标有效毁伤程度
S₈	有效发现并锁定目标的次数
F₉	对目标有效毁伤程度
S₁₀	有效发现并锁定目标的次数
F₁₁	对目标有效毁伤程度