权值直解的多项式神经网络及其解释能力设计

系统仿真学报 ›› 2015, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (3): 559-570.

权值直解的多项式神经网络及其解释能力设计

沈巍, 李秋实, 宋玉坤

华北电力大学经济与管理学院, 北京 102206

收稿日期:2014-02-03 修回日期:2014-05-09 出版日期:2015-03-08 发布日期:2020-08-20
第一作者简介:沈巍(1965-),女,辽宁朝阳,博士,副教授,研究方向为预测理论与方法、人口预测、股指预测、智能预测;李秋实(1991-),男,吉林,研究方向为股指预测、智能预测;宋玉坤(1989-),男,辽宁丹东,硕士生,研究方向为预测理论与方法、人口预测、智能预测。
基金资助:
北京市自然科学基金(9132011)

Polynomial Neural Network with Direct Solutions and Its Interpretation of Inputs

Shen Wei, Li Qiushi, Song Yukun

Department of Economics and Management of North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China

Received:2014-02-03 Revised:2014-05-09 Online:2015-03-08 Published:2020-08-20

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 设计并系统研究了广义多元多项式神经网络,单隐层广义多元多项式神经网络,证明存在最优权值向量使该网络成为未知函数的最佳逼近多项式;创造性地建立了隐层节点的自然次序上限和下限,以及重要值等概念,并引入了偏导数分析,解决了神经网络不具备解释能力的弊病。设计了权值直接解法,证明该解法所得的权值向量是迭代法逼近的最优权值向量。设计了基于Matlab的图形用户界面。通过该程序,用户可通过炒股软件更新股票数据,读取特定股票、特定容量的数据,进行不同模型下指定日期的预测。

关键词: 广义多项式神经网络, 权值直接解法, 重要值, 股指预测

Abstract: The generalized multivariate polynomial neural network and single-hidden-layer generalized multivariate polynomial neural network were designed and systematically studied, and the existence of the optimal weight vector was proved which could make the network the best approximation polynomial for an unknown function; The concepts of the natural upper and lower nodes in the hidden layer were created, and an indicator “value of importance” was creatively designed and the partial derivative analysis was introduced to solve the problem that the neural network was not able to interpret the relationship between variables. The weight vector directly was solved proving it optimal. In addition, Matlab-based graphical user interface was designed. Through this program, users could update stock data via the stock software, and predicted the stock index on specified date via different models.

Key words: generalized multivariate polynomial neural network, weights-direct-determination, importance value, stock index forecasting

中图分类号:

TP391.9

沈巍,李秋实,宋玉坤 . 权值直解的多项式神经网络及其解释能力设计[J]. 系统仿真学报, 2015, 27(3): 559-570.

Shen Wei,Li Qiushi,Song Yukun . Polynomial Neural Network with Direct Solutions and Its Interpretation of Inputs[J]. Journal of System Simulation, 2015, 27(3): 559-570.

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