Evolution Analysis of Manufacturing Supply Chain Layout Considering Import Tax Burden and Customs Clearance Delay

doi:10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.23-0065

Abstract

Abstract:

For foreign suppliers located in the special customs supervision area of free trade zone (FTZ), they can avoid the import tax burden of the remaining inventory can be avoided, but the import clearance may affect the timeliness of supply. Considering the widespread application of pull production, evolutionary game is introduced to study the influence of import tax burden and customs clearance delay on supply chain layout in FTZ. Three evolutionary stability strategies (ESS) are researched, which can be determined by the three conditions constructed by the import tax burden and customs clearance delay. The impact of import tax burden on the policy evolution speed of supplier and manufacturer is related to ESS. The impact of customs clearance delay on the layout evolution is uncertain. The research results can provide reference for the planning and management of free trade zones.

Key words: free trade zone, import tax burden, customs clearance delay, the timeliness of supply, evolutionary game theory

CLC Number:

Wuqiang Li. Evolution Analysis of Manufacturing Supply Chain Layout Considering Import Tax Burden and Customs Clearance Delay[J]. Journal of System Simulation, 2023, 35(6): 1322-1336.

Figures/Tables 15

Table 1

Game payoff matrix

供应商

制造商

区内

区外

区内

O w - δ s

O (p - w) - δ m

$O w - α c s O - δ s$ ,

$O (p - w) - α c m O$

区外

$O w - α c s O - (Q - O) w t$ ,

$O (p - w) - α c m O - δ m$

$O w - (Q - O) w t$ ,

$O (p - w)$

Table 1

Table 3

Game payoff matrix in low tax burden scenario

供应商

制造商

区内

区外

区内

D ¯ w - δ s

D ¯ (p - w) - δ m

$D ¯ w - α c s D ¯ - δ s$ ,

$D ¯ (p - w) - α c m D ¯$

区外

$D ¯ w - α c s D ¯ - (1 - β) Δ D w t$ ,

$D ¯ (p - w) - α c m D ¯ - δ m$

$D ¯ w - (1 - β) Δ D w t$ ,

$D ¯ (p - w)$

Table 3

Table 4

Local stability analysis of equilibrium point in low tax burden scenario

均衡点	局部稳定性	条件	备注
$(0,0)$	ESS	$(1 - β) Δ D w t < δ s + α c s D ¯$
$(1,1)$	ESS	$α c m D ¯ > δ m (1 - β) Δ D w t > δ s - α c s D ¯$	可简化为 $α c m D ¯ > δ m$
$(1,0)$	ESS	$α c m D ¯ < δ m (1 - β) Δ D w t > δ s + α c s D ¯$
$(0,1)$	不稳定		$t r J > 0$
$(x ̂ L, y ̂ L)$	不稳定		$d e t J < 0$

Table 4

Fig. 1

Fig. 2

Table 5

Local stability analysis of equilibrium point in medium tax burden scenario

均衡点	局部稳定性	条件	备注
$(0,0)$	ESS	$(1 - β) Δ D w t < δ s + α c s D ¯$
$(1,1)$	ESS	$α c m D ¯ > δ m α c s D L > δ s - (D ¯ - D L) w$	可简化为 $α > α ¯$
$(1,0)$	ESS	$α c m D ¯ < δ m (1 - β) Δ D w t > δ s + α c s D ¯$

Table 5

Fig. 3

Table 6

Local stability analysis of equilibrium point in high tax burden scenario

均衡点	局部稳定性	条件	备注
$(0,0)$	ESS	$α c s D ¯ > (D ¯ - D L) w - δ s$
$(1,1)$	ESS	$α c m D ¯ > δ m α c s D L > δ s - (D ¯ - D L) w$	可简化为 $α > α ¯$
$(1,0)$	ESS	$α c m D ¯ < δ m α c s D ¯ < (D ¯ - D L) w - δ s$

Table 6

Fig. 4

Table 7

ESS and corresponding requirements

分类	条件	ESS
$α' > α ¯$	$α ≤ α ¯$ ， $t < t b (α)$	${W, W}$
	$α < α ¯$ ， $t > t b (α)$	${N, W}$
	$α ¯ < α ≤ α'$ ， $t > t b (α)$	${N, N}$
	$α ¯ < α ≤ α' t < t b (α)$ 或 $α > α'$	${W, W}$ 或 ${N, N}$
$α' ≤ α ¯$	$0 ≤ α ≤ m a x {α', 0} t ≤ t b (α)$ 或 $α > m a x {α', 0}$	${W, W}$
	$0 ≤ α < m a x {α', 0}$ ， $t > t b (α)$	${N, W}$
	$α > α ¯$	${W, W}$ 或 ${N, N}$

Table 7

Fig. 5

Fig. 6

Fig. 7

Fig. 8

Fig. 9

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