System Dynamics Modeling for Simulation of Water Supply and Demand Relationship in Beijing

doi:10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.19-FZ0291E

Journal of System Simulation ›› 2019, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (12): 2790-2801.doi: 10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.19-FZ0291E

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System Dynamics Modeling for Simulation of Water Supply and Demand Relationship in Beijing

Luo Longxi¹, Wu Jianping¹, Chen Yun², Xu Zhe²

1. School of Civil Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China;
2. Hangzhou Dianzi University, Hangzhou 310018, China

Received:2019-05-20 Revised:2019-07-07 Published:2019-12-13
About author:Luo Longxi (1991), Male, Hunan, Ph.D., Postdoc, research direction: ITS, driving behavior, deep learning and computer vision; Wu Jianping(1957-), Male, Zhejiang, Ph.D., Professor, research direction: traffic simulation, ITS, and sustainable systems.
Supported by:
National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant (U1509205, U1709212)

Abstract

Abstract: Beijing is a metropolis and the center of politics and education of China. However, located in the region with a low level of rainfall, Beijing has been struggling with supplying water resources to meet its growing demand. The past and future trend of the water supply and demand balance in Beijing is studied. Historical data is collected and compiled for learning its past behaviors. The system dynamics (SD) modeling can simulate the complicated and integrated relationships in water supply and demand system. An SD model is then constructed based on compiled historical data. The SD model is validated by comparing simulated data with historical data before it is used for forecasting future changes in the water balance of the city.

Key words: system dynamics modeling, water supply and demand balance, water shortage, Beijing

CLC Number:

TP391.9

Luo Longxi, Wu Jianping, Chen Yun, Xu Zhe. System Dynamics Modeling for Simulation of Water Supply and Demand Relationship in Beijing[J]. Journal of System Simulation, 2019, 31(12): 2790-2801.

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System Dynamics Modeling for Simulation of Water Supply and Demand Relationship in Beijing

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