基于杀伤链和FDNA的能力依赖关系分析

doi:10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.23-1542

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

为了更好地支撑作战体系分析，深入分析任务完成过程中依赖关系的影响，准确把握体系能力生成的深层次逻辑，提出基于杀伤链和功能依赖网络分析(function dependency network analysis，FDNA)的能力依赖关系分析方法。结合能力依赖关系特点分析，从作战交互视角抽象作战体系的杀伤链闭合、杀伤网形成过程，提出了作战体系的能力依赖关系网络建模方法，并在作战实验支撑下给出了涵盖识别能力依赖关系、计算效能水平、求解关系参数以及分析应用的具体过程。实验表明：该建模和分析方法具有较强的可操作性、可行性和有效性，能够为作战体系分析提供一种可解释、能回溯的定性定量综合分析方法。

关键词: 功能依赖网络分析, 杀伤链, 能力依赖分析, 作战体系分析, 体系能力评估

Abstract:

To better support the operation SoS analysis, deeply analyze the impact of dependency relationship during mission accomplishment, and accurately grasp the deep logic of SoS capability generation, the capability dependency analysis method based on the kill chain and function dependency network analysis(FDNA) is proposed. Combined with the analysis of the characteristics of the capability dependency relationship, the kill chain closure and the kill web formation process are abstracted from the perspective of operational interaction, a capability dependency network modeling method for the SoS is proposed, and a specific process covering the identification of capability dependency, calculation of operability, solving of dependency parameters, and analysis & application is given under the support of operation experiments. Experimental results demonstrate the method's strong operability, feasibility, and effectiveness, providing an interpretable, traceable, qualitative, and quantitative comprehensive analysis method for the analysis of operation SoS.

Key words: functional dependence network analysis(FDNA), kill chain, capability dependency analysis, operations SoS analysis, SoS capability assessment

中图分类号:

TP391.9

王玉帅,司光亚 . 基于杀伤链和FDNA的能力依赖关系分析[J]. 系统仿真学报, 2025, 37(4): 1076-1089.

Wang Yushuai,Si Guangya . Capability Dependency Analysis Based on Kill Chain and FDNA[J]. Journal of System Simulation, 2025, 37(4): 1076-1089.

图/表 16

表1

图1

图2

图3

图4

表2

表3

图5

表4

图6

表5

表6

表7

能力依赖关系参数求解结果

$(α i j, β i j)$		接受节点
$(α i j, β i j)$		S₅	S₆	F₇	F₉	F₁₁
供给节点	S₁	(0.21, 34)	(0.18, 48)	—	—	—
	D₂	(0.18, 56)	(0.23, 59)	—	—	—
	S₃	—	—	—	(0.12, 43)	(0.11, 49)
	D₄	(0.43, 62)	(0.51, 57)	—	—	—
	S₅	—	—	(0.33, 38)	(0.03, 68)	(0.04, 64)
	S₆	—	—	(0.37, 42)	(0.06, 69)	(0.08, 65)
	F₇	—	—	—	—	—
	S₈	—	—	—	(0.43, 26)	(0.15, 81)
	S₁₀	—	—	—	(0.17, 75)	(0.39, 33)
伪R方正汇总行²检验		0.65	0.72	0.77	0.63	0.61

表7

图7

图8

图9

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F2T2EA	描述
Find	对作战空间进行广泛监视，以探测潜在目标并确定其特征
Fix	根据潜在目标的识别特征、精确位置信息等情报，确定其是否为交战目标
Track	持续跟踪目标，保持和更新目标的位置信息、身份信息等
Target	将目标分配给可用武器平台，为攻击做准备
Engage	结合情报信息进行机动，对目标进行攻击
Assess	评估交战结果，确定是否有必要重新攻击或采取其他后续行动

交战方	作战力量	主要作战行动
红方	天基信息系统U₁	发现蓝方目标并将情报信息发送至前沿指挥所
	前沿指挥所U₂	共享情报信息，将情报传送给预警机
	预警机编队U₃	战场态势感知，指控所属力量执行相关作战活动
	第一无人侦察编队U₄	前出抵近侦察，获取蓝方目标信息
	第二无人侦察编队U₅	前出抵近侦察，获取蓝方目标信息
	轰炸机编队U₆	接到命令后从机场起飞，对蓝方水面舰船进行远程奔袭打击
	第一战斗机编队U₇	打击蓝方空中目标，保护红方目标
	第二战斗机编队U₈	打击蓝方空中目标，保护红方目标
蓝方	预警机T₁	提供来袭战机、导弹等战场情报信息
	水面舰船T₂	在预警机支持下防空反导，打击来袭导弹和战机
	战斗机编队T₃	在预警机支持下打击来袭导弹和战机，协同防护己方目标

作战力量	能力节点
天基信息支援系统	战场感知能力S₁
前沿指挥所	指挥控制能力D₂
预警机编队	战场感知能力S₃
预警机编队	指挥控制能力D₄
第一无人侦察编队	战场感知能力S₅
第二无人侦察编队	战场感知能力S₆
轰炸机编队	火力打击能力F₇
第一战斗机编队	战场感知能力S₈
第一战斗机编队	火力打击能力F₉
第二战斗机编队	战场感知能力S₁₀
第二战斗机编队	火力打击能力F₁₁

杀伤链	蓝方目标	能力节点
KC₁	水面舰船	S₁、D₂、D₄、(S₅, S₆)、F₇
KC₂	预警机	((S₈, S₁₀), S₃)、(F₉, F₁₁)

能力节点	效能指标
S₁	发现目标时间
D₂	情报融合开始时间和结束时间
S₃	发现目标次数
D₄	情报融合开始时间和结束时间
S₅	有效跟踪目标时长
S₆	有效跟踪目标时长
F₇	对目标有效毁伤程度
S₈	有效发现并锁定目标的次数
F₉	对目标有效毁伤程度
S₁₀	有效发现并锁定目标的次数
F₁₁	对目标有效毁伤程度