系统仿真学报 ›› 2018, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (9): 3255-3263.doi: 10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.201809004

• 仿真建模理论与方法 • 上一篇    下一篇

网络空间实体信度演化模型及其仿真

陶九阳1,2, 吴琳1, 贺筱媛1, 荣明1   

  1. 1. 国防大学信息作战与指挥训练教研部,北京 100091;
    2. 解放军理工大学指挥信息系统学院,江苏 南京 210007
  • 收稿日期:2016-03-10 出版日期:2018-09-10 发布日期:2019-01-08
  • 作者简介:陶九阳(1983-),男,山东五莲,博士生,研究方向为运筹分析与军事智能决策。
  • 基金资助:
    军民共用重大研究计划联合基金(U1435218),国家自然科学基金(61174156,61273189,61174035,61374179,61403400,61403401)

Modeling and Simulation on Entities’ Belief in Cyberspace

Tao Jiuyang1,2, Wu Lin1, He Xiaoyuan1, Rong Ming1   

  1. 1. Department of Information Operation & Command Training, National Defense University, Beijing 100091, China;
    2. College of Command Information Systems, PLA University of Sci. & Tech., Nanjing 210007, China
  • Received:2016-03-10 Online:2018-09-10 Published:2019-01-08

摘要: “伪造”已经成为一种常见的网络攻击方式。研究针对“伪造”攻击的防御措施具有重要意义。“伪造”攻击依赖网络对伪造信息的信(任)度。提出了两种“伪造”攻击方式,并分析了“伪造”攻击的三个必要条件;根据D-S证据理论,建立了网络空间实体对事件的信度模型,设计了面向态势感知共享的网络空间信度合成算法,研究了“伪造”导致的网络实体信度的演化;仿真分析了“伪造”在无尺度网络和小世界网络上的信度合成和演化,得到了网络空间中信度演化的三个结论。

关键词: 网络空间, D-S证据理论, 复杂网络, 态势感知

Abstract: Of all cyber-attacks, 'fabrication' which is aimed at impacting one’s awareness is becoming the common means, so it is of great importance to explore ways so as to defend such attacks. An attack can success or not always rely on the entities’ belief of certain events. In this paper, two different ways of 'fabrication' attack are put forward, and three essential conditions for 'fabrication' attack are analyzed. Second, a cyberspace belief model in terms of the Dempster-Shafer framework based on situation awareness theory is built to study the evolution of the cyber entities’ belief under the 'fabrication' attack. In addition, an algorithm used to compound D-S belief values among entities in cyberspace is designed. At last, the combination and evolution of D-S belief are studied on the scale-free network and the small world network, three conclusions are proposed at last.

Key words: cyberspace, Dempster-Shafer evidence theory, complex networks, situation awareness

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