战斗减员过程的系统动力学与多智能体仿真研究

doi:10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.18-0461

系统仿真学报 ›› 2020, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (4): 738-743.doi: 10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.18-0461

战斗减员过程的系统动力学与多智能体仿真研究

郝枭雄¹, 马建威², 黄朝晖², 王云贵^2*

1. 中部战区总医院卫勤部,武汉 430000;
2. 陆军军医大学陆军卫勤训练基地卫生勤务学教研室,重庆 400038

收稿日期:2018-07-05 修回日期:2018-12-24 出版日期:2020-04-18 发布日期:2020-04-16
作者简介:郝枭雄(1989-),男,河北保定,博士,主治医师,研究方向为战时卫勤保障理论; 马建威(1982-),男,河北新乐,博士,讲师,研究方向为卫勤决策支持;黄朝晖(1968-),男,黑龙江哈尔滨,博士,教授,研究方向为卫勤保障理论与卫勤实战化教育训练。
基金资助:
军队后勤科研项目(BWS14J032)

System Dynamics and Multi-Agent Simulation Research on Ground CombatPersonnel Attrition

Hao Xiaoxiong¹, Ma Jianwei², Huang Zhaohui², Wang Yungui^2*

1. Department of Health Service, General Hospital of Central Theater Command, Wuhan 430000, China;
2. Department of Health Service, Military Medical Training Base, Army Medical University, Chongqing 400038, China;

Received:2018-07-05 Revised:2018-12-24 Online:2020-04-18 Published:2020-04-16

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 为研究战斗减员规律,指导卫勤保障筹划,系统梳理了战斗减员相关研究的发展脉络,明确了待回答的关键问题。基于兰彻斯特方程原理构建了战斗减员过程的系统动力学模型,并分析了模型结论与历史经验的一致性;进一步构建了战斗减员过程的多智能体仿真模型,并分析对比了两类模型的优劣。主要结论为,战斗减员的理论模型结论与历史经验数据是相对一致的,多智能体模型相较于系统动力学模型,更适于战术层面小规模分队的组织行为研究。

关键词: 地面战斗, 战斗减员, 系统动力学, 多智能体, 卫勤保障

Abstract: In order to study the law of the combat personnel attrition and guide the military medical logistics support, the relevant researches are systematically sorted out and the key questions are clarified. Based on Lanchester equation theory, a system dynamics model of the combat attrition process is established, and the consistency between the model conclusion and the historical experience is analyzed. A multi-agent model of the combat attrition process is also constructed, and the advantages and disadvantages of the two models are analyzed. The main conclusion is that the theoretical model’s outcomes of combat attrition are relatively consistent with the historical experience data. Compared with the system dynamics model, the multi-agent model is more suitable for the organizational behavior research on the small tactical teams.

Key words: ground combat, combat casualties, system dynamics, multi-agent, military medical logistics support

中图分类号:

E911

郝枭雄, 马建威, 黄朝晖, 王云贵. 战斗减员过程的系统动力学与多智能体仿真研究[J]. 系统仿真学报, 2020, 32(4): 738-743.

Hao Xiaoxiong, Ma Jianwei, Huang Zhaohui, Wang Yungui. System Dynamics and Multi-Agent Simulation Research on Ground CombatPersonnel Attrition[J]. Journal of System Simulation, 2020, 32(4): 738-743.

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战斗减员过程的系统动力学与多智能体仿真研究

System Dynamics and Multi-Agent Simulation Research on Ground CombatPersonnel Attrition

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