Abstract: The thesis explained the concept of credibility evaluation of hardware-in-the-loop simulation. The models and the processes were introduced in three parts: credibility evaluation of simulation system, monitoring of simulation test process, and credibility evaluation of simulation results. The credibility evaluation model of hardware-in-the-loop simulation system was built based on TOPSIS and the credibility evaluation model of simulation results was built based on simulation and firing practace. This way could answer the credibility of hardware-in-the-loop simulation, and provide strong support for hardware-in-the-loop simulation in guided weapons test and evaluation.

Key words: guided weapon, hardware-in-the-loop simulation, credibility evaluation, confidence interval