系统仿真学报 ›› 2018, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (12): 4587-4595.doi: 10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.201812012

• 仿真建模理论与方法 • 上一篇    下一篇

数据驱动的装备效能评估模型构建方法研究

陆营波, 钱晓超, 陈伟, 何舒, 陆志沣   

  1. 上海机电工程研究所,上海 201109
  • 收稿日期:2018-05-29 修回日期:2018-08-17 出版日期:2018-12-10 发布日期:2019-01-03
  • 作者简介:陆营波(1994-),男,安徽铜陵,硕士,研究方向为装备效能评估; 钱晓超(1986-),男,山东青州,博士,工程师,研究方向为装备效能评估; 陈伟(1992-),男,江苏苏州,硕士,工程师,研究方向为装备建模仿真。
  • 基金资助:
    国防基础科研重大项目(JCKY2016203A017)

Research on Construction Method of Data-Driven Equipment Effectiveness Evaluation Model

Lu Yingbo, Qian Xiaochao, Chen Wei, He Shu, Lu Zhifeng   

  1. Shanghai Electro-Mechanical Engineering Institute, Shanghai 201109, China
  • Received:2018-05-29 Revised:2018-08-17 Online:2018-12-10 Published:2019-01-03

摘要: 针对武器装备效能评估问题复杂,呈现非线性,而传统解析方法存在评估指标赋权不客观的问题,无法准确建立效能评估的数学模型,提出了一种基于数据驱动的效能评估模型构建方法,通过引入元模型技术,基于遗传算法改进的GA-BP神经网络构建武器装备效能评估模型,挖掘效能评估指标间的关联关系,赋予评价指标客观权值。以某型防空导弹武器系统拦截效能评估为例,验证了该方法的可行性。该方法可为武器装备战术技术指标快速优化设计、作战效能评估结果预测奠定基础。

关键词: 数据驱动, 效能评估模型, GA-BP神经网络, 指标关联, 客观赋权

Abstract: The problem of weapon equipment effectiveness evaluation is complex and nonlinear. However, the analytical method cannot empower evaluation index objectively or establish the mathematical model accurately. This paper proposes a data-driven evaluation model construction method. We introduce meta-model technology like GA-BP algorithm to construct effectiveness evaluation model, which can mine relationships and weights between indicators objectively. We take the interception effectiveness evaluation of a certain type of air defense missile weapon system as an example to verify the feasibility of this method. The method is helpful to optimize technical indicators and predict effectiveness rapidly.

Key words: data-driven, effectiveness evaluation model, GA-BP, indicator association, objective weighting

中图分类号: