时序网络视角下网络舆情的演化模型研究

doi:10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.18-0254

系统仿真学报 ›› 2020, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (3): 394-403.doi: 10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.18-0254

时序网络视角下网络舆情的演化模型研究

李锋¹, 魏莹^2*

1. 华南理工大学工商管理学院,广东广州 510640;
2. 暨南大学企业管理系,广东广州 510632

收稿日期:2018-05-03 修回日期:2018-11-15 出版日期:2020-03-18 发布日期:2020-03-25
作者简介:李锋(1975-),男,河北邢台,博士,副教授,研究方向为运营管理、系统仿真;魏莹(1977-),女,江西萍乡,博士,副教授,研究方向为运营管理、库存管理。
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金(71572070),广东省自然科学基金(2014A030313262)

Research on Evolution Model of Online Public Opinion Based on Temporal Network

Li Feng¹, Wei Ying^2*

1. School of Business Administration, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510640, China;
2. Department of Business Administration, Jinan University, Guangzhou 510632, China

Received:2018-05-03 Revised:2018-11-15 Online:2020-03-18 Published:2020-03-25

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 随着对社交媒体的研究深入,平台用户之间的社会关系网络为动态的时序网络逐步得到认同。为了对比并分析时序网络下舆情扩散的过程和结果,采用计算机仿真的分析方法,通过构建时序网络,并采用SIR模型作为舆情扩散的信息扩散模型。多智能体仿真结果表明,舆情扩散结果的不确定性一方面来自于时序网络的复杂网络结构和信息扩散模型,而另一方面则是源于将用户之间的社会关系网络看作是静态网络。通过参数分析确定了提高舆情扩散的思路和方向。

关键词: 时序网络, 网络舆情, SIR模型, 多智能体建模与仿真

Abstract: With the in-depth study on the social medias, the social networks of online platforms are recognized gradually as the time-varying temporal networks. In order to compare and analyze the information diffusion process and the result, the analysis method of computer simulations is adopted, a temporal network is generated, and the SIR model is used as the online public opinion diffusion model. The simulation results based on multi-agent approach show that the uncertainty of information diffusion on the social platforms comes from the complicated structure of the temporal networks and the SIR model. In addition, the misunderstanding of the social networks being static also overestimates the information diffusion.Some managerial insights are proposed through the parameters analysis.

Key words: temporal network, online public opinion, SIR model, multi-agent based modeling and simulation

中图分类号:

TP391.3

李锋, 魏莹. 时序网络视角下网络舆情的演化模型研究[J]. 系统仿真学报, 2020, 32(3): 394-403.

Li Feng, Wei Ying. Research on Evolution Model of Online Public Opinion Based on Temporal Network[J]. Journal of System Simulation, 2020, 32(3): 394-403.

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时序网络视角下网络舆情的演化模型研究

Research on Evolution Model of Online Public Opinion Based on Temporal Network

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