系统仿真学报 ›› 2026, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (9): 2486-2501.doi: 10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.26-0013

• 专栏:自动驾驶与智能交通系统仿真 • 上一篇    

基于驾驶风格超图的车辆跨模态轨迹预测模型

程国柱1, 王长远1, 王文志1, 章一帆1, 冯天军2   

  1. 1.东北林业大学 土木与交通学院,黑龙江 哈尔滨 150040
    2.吉林建筑大学 交通科学与工程学院,吉林 长春 130118
  • 收稿日期:2026-01-06 修回日期:2026-04-04 出版日期:2026-09-30 发布日期:2026-10-02
  • 第一作者简介:程国柱(1977-),男,教授,博士,研究方向为智能交通。
  • 基金资助:
    中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金(2572026DG64);吉林省科技发展计划(20250203079SF)

Vehicle Cross-modal Trajectory Prediction Model Based on Driving Style Hypergraphs

Cheng Guozhu1, Wang Changyuan1, Wang Wenzhi1, Zhang Yifan1, Feng Tianjun2   

  1. 1.School of Civil Engineering and Transportation, Northeast Forestry University, Harbin 150040, China
    2.School of Transportation Science and Engineering, Jilin University of Architecture, Changchun 130118, China
  • Received:2026-01-06 Revised:2026-04-04 Online:2026-09-30 Published:2026-10-02

摘要:

为解决现有高速公路车辆轨迹预测方法忽视驾驶风格差异以及未来不同模态轨迹间交互的问题,提出了一种基于驾驶风格双超图Transformer的跨模态轨迹预测模型。通过提取车辆运动学特征量化车辆驾驶风格,计算车辆间的相似度矩阵;构建驾驶风格双超图Transformer,通过同质超图建模驾驶风格相似车辆的群体交互,异质超图捕捉空间邻近但风格异质车辆的交互关系;设计风格感知的跨模态交互模块,利用多头注意力机制动态调整不同驾驶风格对交互场景的响应权重,实现多模态轨迹生成。在HighD和ExiD数据集上的实验表明,该方法在5 s预测时域上RMSE分别为1.69 m、1.66 m,与IPF-GCN等最新图神经网络模型相比,在平均RMSE指标上取得更优性能;在ExiD数据集上,相较MMnTP和POVL模型,平均预测精度分别提升30.6%和12.8%。所提模型能够有效刻画车辆群体交互关系,并显著提升车辆轨迹预测的准确性与稳定性。

关键词: 智能交通, 轨迹预测, 驾驶风格, 超图, Transformer, 跨模态交互

Abstract:

To address the shortcomings of existing motorway vehicle trajectory prediction methods which overlook differences in driving styles and the future interactions between trajectories of different modes. This paper proposes a cross-modal trajectory prediction model based on a dual-hypergraph Transformer for driving styles. The method first quantifies driving styles by extracting vehicle kinematic features and calculates a similarity matrix between vehicles; it then constructs a dual-hypergraph Transformer, using a homogeneous hypergraph to model the group interactions of vehicles with similar driving styles, and a heterogeneous hypergraph to capture the interaction relationships between spatially neighbouring but stylistically dissimilar vehicles; Finally, a style-aware cross-modal interaction module is designed, utilising a multi-head attention mechanism to dynamically adjust the response weights of different driving styles to the interaction scenario, thereby enabling multi-modal trajectory generation. Experiments on the HighD and ExiD datasets demonstrate that this method achieves RMSE values of 1.69 m and 1.66 m, respectively, over a 5-second prediction horizon. Compared with state-of-the-art graph neural network models such as IPF-GCN, it achieves superior performance in terms of average RMSE. On the ExiD dataset, the average prediction accuracy improved by 30.6% and 12.8% compared to the MMnTP and POVL models, respectively. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed model can effectively capture the interaction relationships within a group of vehicles and significantly enhance the accuracy and stability of vehicle trajectory prediction.

Key words: intelligent transportation, trajectory prediction, driving style, hypergraph, Transformer, cross-modal interaction

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