基于主体的可再生能源电力消纳交易仿真研究

doi:10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.20-0662

系统仿真学报 ›› 2022, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (1): 170-178.doi: 10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.20-0662

• 国民经济仿真 • 上一篇

基于主体的可再生能源电力消纳交易仿真研究

张鸾, 罗正军, 周德群

南京航空航天大学经济与管理学院,江苏南京 211106

收稿日期:2020-09-04 修回日期:2020-12-18 出版日期:2022-01-18 发布日期:2022-01-14
通讯作者: 罗正军(1972-),男,硕士,副教授,研究方向为能源环境经济与政策。E-mail：andrewluo@nuaa.edu.cn
作者简介:张鸾(1996-)，女，硕士生，研究方向为系统仿真。E-mail：luan_zhang@126.com
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金(71573121); 中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金(NR2016016); 中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金(NJ20140028)

Agent- based Research on Power Absorption Simulation Analysis of Renewable Energy

Zhang Luan, Luo Zhengjun, Zhou Dequn

College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 211106, China

Received:2020-09-04 Revised:2020-12-18 Online:2022-01-18 Published:2022-01-14

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 我国为解决“三弃”问题,提出了可再生能源电力消纳保障机制。为激励可再生能源电力消纳,采用多主体仿真方法,分析了市场主体交易行为和交互关系,剖析了影响可再生能源电力消纳的关键交互因素,针对多种影响因素变动,对可再生能源电力消纳情况和积极消纳者数量的演化进行了仿真实验。结果显示：绿证被认购能直接促进本年可再生能源电力消纳;想要加快可再生能源电力消纳需综合考虑超额消纳量价格、绿证价格和消纳量补充交易频率,使我国可再生能源健康发展。

关键词: 可再生能源, 电力消纳, 仿真建模, 消纳量交易

Abstract: Aiming at the “three abandonment”, a guarantee mechanism for the consumption of renewable energy power is proposed in our country. In order to stimulate the consumption of renewable energy power, a multi-agent simulation method is used to analyze the transaction behavior and interaction of market players, and the key factors affecting the consumption of renewable energy power is analyzed to simulated the consumption of renewable energy and the evolution of the number of active consumers. The results show that the subscribed green certificate can directly promote the consumption of renewable energy power, and it is necessary to comprehensively consider the price of excess consumption, the price of green certificates and the frequency of supplementary transactions to increase the consumption and ensure the healthy development of the country's renewable energy.

Key words: renewable energy, power absorption, simulation modeling, consumption transaction

中图分类号:

TP391.9

张鸾, 罗正军, 周德群. 基于主体的可再生能源电力消纳交易仿真研究[J]. 系统仿真学报, 2022, 34(1): 170-178.

Zhang Luan, Luo Zhengjun, Zhou Dequn. Agent- based Research on Power Absorption Simulation Analysis of Renewable Energy[J]. Journal of System Simulation, 2022, 34(1): 170-178.

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基于主体的可再生能源电力消纳交易仿真研究

Agent- based Research on Power Absorption Simulation Analysis of Renewable Energy

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