新配额制下电力-绿证-超额消纳量多尺度市场交易仿真

doi:10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.21-0699

系统仿真学报 ›› 2022, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (11): 2458-2469.doi: 10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.21-0699

新配额制下电力-绿证-超额消纳量多尺度市场交易仿真

汪鹏¹^,²(), 宋晓华¹^,², 杨昊雯³(), 翟晓颖¹^,², 韩晶晶¹^,², 鞠立伟¹^,²

^1.华北电力大学，北京　102206
^2.新能源电力与低碳发展研究北京市重点实验室(华北电力大学)，北京　102206
^3.澳大利亚国立大学　商业与经济学院，堪培拉　2600

收稿日期:2021-07-16 修回日期:2021-11-23 出版日期:2022-11-18 发布日期:2022-11-25
通讯作者: 杨昊雯 E-mail:wangpeng.jiejie@163.com;haowen.yang@qq.com
作者简介:汪鹏(1989-)，男，博士生，工程师，研究方向为电力市场仿真。E-mail：wangpeng.jiejie@163.com
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金(72074074)

Multi-market Coupling Trading Simulation of Electricity Green Certificate and Excess Consumption Under New Renewable Portfolio Standard

Peng Wang¹^,²(), Xiaohua Song¹^,², Haowen Yang³(), Xiaoying Zhai¹^,², Jingjing Han¹^,², Liwei Ju¹^,²

^1.North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China
^2.Beijing Key Laboratory of New Energy and Low-Carbon Development (North China Electric Power University), Beijing 102206, China
^3.College of Business & Economics, Australian National University, Canberra 2600, Australia

Received:2021-07-16 Revised:2021-11-23 Online:2022-11-18 Published:2022-11-25
Contact: Haowen Yang E-mail:wangpeng.jiejie@163.com;haowen.yang@qq.com

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

为了明确新配额制(renewable portfolio standards，RPS)下电力-绿证-超额消纳量多尺度市场耦合互动关系，引入系统动力学，构建互动交易模型并进行仿真。以市场交易标的物流转为线索，设计多市场耦合交易体系，基于系统动力学方法构建耦合交易复杂因果关系，并分析新RPS对市场主体收益或成本影响。仿真结果表明：新RPS下，电力价格逐渐下降趋势，消纳量证书交易压低绿证交易价格，二者交易价格最终会趋于相等。RPS会使可再生能源发电商电力市场收益、用户用电成本波动下降，RPS比例提高，二者下降速度减缓。

关键词: 可再生能源交易, 电力市场, 超额消纳量, 绿色证书

Abstract:

In order to clarify the multi-scale market coupling interaction relationship of electricity, green certificate, excess consumption under the renewable portfolio standards (RPS), the system dynamics is introduced, and the interactive trading model is constructed and simulated. Taking the logistics transformation of three market transaction targets as the clue, this paper designs a multi-scale market coupling transaction framework, constructs the complex causality of coupling transaction based on system dynamics method, and analyzes the impact of RPS on the revenue or cost of market participants. Simulation results show that under the new RPS, the electricity price will gradually decline, the transaction price of green certificate will be depressed by the consumption certificate, and the transaction price of green certificate will eventually become equal. The new RPS will reduce the market income of renewable energy generators and the fluctuation of electricity cost of users, and increasing the proportion of RPS will slow down the decline rate of both.

Key words: renewable energy trading, electricity market, excess consumption, green certificate

中图分类号:

TP391.9

汪鹏, 宋晓华, 杨昊雯, 翟晓颖, 韩晶晶, 鞠立伟. 新配额制下电力-绿证-超额消纳量多尺度市场交易仿真[J]. 系统仿真学报, 2022, 34(11): 2458-2469.

Peng Wang, Xiaohua Song, Haowen Yang, Xiaoying Zhai, Jingjing Han, Liwei Ju. Multi-market Coupling Trading Simulation of Electricity Green Certificate and Excess Consumption Under New Renewable Portfolio Standard[J]. Journal of System Simulation, 2022, 34(11): 2458-2469.

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变量	取值	变量	取值
Q_A/(MW·h)	4500	Δα/%	1
Q_B/(MW·h)	1000	Δβ/%	0
p_A,SM(元/(MW·h))	400	(元/个)	50
p_B,SM(元/(MW·h))	345	(元/个)	100
Q_α/(MW·h)	3000	(元/个)	128.6
Q_β/(MW·h)	2000	(元/个)	166.9
ρ_α/%	18	(元/个)	128.6
ρ_β/%	5	(元/个)	609
γ_α,LM/%	8	/d	7
ρ_β,LM/%	10	/d	7

新配额制下电力-绿证-超额消纳量多尺度市场交易仿真

Multi-market Coupling Trading Simulation of Electricity Green Certificate and Excess Consumption Under New Renewable Portfolio Standard

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