系统仿真学报 ›› 2019, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (7): 1263-1271.doi: 10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.19-0202

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基于聚类云模型的小样本数据可信度评估

王建敏1, 吴云洁2   

  1. 1. 中国科学院 空间应用工程与技术中心,北京 100094;
    2. 北京航空航天大学 自动化科学与电气工程学院,北京 100083
  • 收稿日期:2019-05-10 修回日期:2019-06-24 发布日期:2019-12-12
  • 作者简介:王建敏(1986-),男,河北石家庄,博士,助理研究员,研究方向为软件评测、系统测试及控制、系统仿真及评估; 吴云洁(1969-),女,河北保定,博士,教授,博导,研究方向为智能控制理论、半实物仿真设备、系统仿真及评估。

Credibility Evaluation Method of Small Sample Data Based on Cluster Cloud Model

Wang Jianmin1, Wu Yunjie2   

  1. 1. Technology and Engineering Center for Space Utilization, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100094, China;
    2. School of Automation Science and Electrical Engineering, Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Beijing 100083, China
  • Received:2019-05-10 Revised:2019-06-24 Published:2019-12-12

摘要: 在实际工程中,数据量小、且无评估标准的系统可信度评价问题一直是困扰工程人员的难题。针对该问题,提出了一种将聚类算法和云模型相结合的小样本数据可信度评估方法。利用聚类算法先确定小样本中的聚类中心值,基于此建立云模型。通过云模型产生小样本的扩充数据。根据云滴的置信度分布可进一步计算小样本数据的可信度。将聚类算法与云模型相结合,可以充分挖掘小样本数据中的潜在信息,增加评估的有效性。通过算例分析及仿真证明了所设计方法的合理性和有效性。

关键词: 聚类算法, 云模型, 可信度评估, 小样本数据

Abstract: In practical engineering, the system credibility evaluation with small amount of data and no evaluation criteria has always been a difficult problem for engineers. Aiming at this problem, a small sample data credibility evaluation method combining clustering method and cloud model is proposed. The clustering method is used to calculate the cluster center value for the small sample, and the cloud model is established based on this. The expanded value for small sample data is generated by the cloud model. The credibility of small sample data can be calculated according to the confidence distribution of cloud drops. It can fully exploit the implied information in the small sample data by combining the clustering method with the cloud model, which can increase the effectiveness of the evaluation. The case analysis and simulation are carried out to prove the validity and rationality of the proposed method.

Key words: clustering method, cloud model, credibility evaluation, small sample data

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