基于ANP-可拓云模型的地铁系统韧性评价

doi:10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.19-0643

系统仿真学报 ›› 2021, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (4): 943-950.doi: 10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.19-0643

基于ANP-可拓云模型的地铁系统韧性评价

郭庆军, 郝倩雯, 王艺洁, 王静

西安工业大学建筑工程学院,陕西西安 710021

收稿日期:2019-12-10 修回日期:2020-01-19 出版日期:2021-04-18 发布日期:2021-04-14
作者简介:郭庆军(1978-),男,博士,教授,研究方向为土木工程建造与管理。E-mail：1370315666@qq.com
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金(51374165); 陕西省软科学研究项目(2020KRM149)

Subway System Resilience Evaluation in Based on ANP-Extension Cloud Model

Guo Qingjun, Hao Qianwen, Wang Yijie, Wang Jing

School of Civil and Architecture Engineering, Xi'an Technological University, Xi'an 710021, China

Received:2019-12-10 Revised:2020-01-19 Online:2021-04-18 Published:2021-04-14

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 提升地铁施工现场的安全防御能力和抗风险水平,需提高地铁施工现场安全系统的风险抵抗能力和事故恢复能力。将韧性理论引入地铁建设工程的安全管理,通过韧性理论分析界定适用于地铁施工现场安全系统的韧性内涵,依据文献计量法和德尔菲法筛选韧性评价指标,通过构建网络层次分析法-可拓云综合评价模型进行系统韧性评价,并以西安地铁十四号线车站为例,进行模型的应用。评价结果与实际工程情况相符,评价模型有效,有助于为地铁建设工程安全管理建立基于韧性理论的系统全过程分析方法。

关键词: 安全系统韧性, 地铁施工, 韧性评价, 可拓云模型

Abstract: In order to improve the safety defense ability and risk resistance level of the subway construction site, it is necessary to improve the risk resistance and accident recovery ability of the safety system. The resilience theory is applied in the safety management of subway construction engineering by defining whether the resilience connotation is applicable to the safety system. According to the bibliometric method and Delphi method, the resilience evaluation index is selected and the system resilience is evaluated by constructing comprehensive evaluation model of ANP-extension cloud. The Xi'an 14th Metro Line is taken as an applilation example. The evaluation result is consistent with the actual engineering applilation, the evaluation model is effective, and provides a full process analysis method based on the resilience theory for safety management of subway construction engineering.

Key words: safety system resilience, subway construction, resilience evaluation, extension cloud model

中图分类号:

X947
TP391

郭庆军, 郝倩雯, 王艺洁, 王静. 基于ANP-可拓云模型的地铁系统韧性评价[J]. 系统仿真学报, 2021, 33(4): 943-950.

Guo Qingjun, Hao Qianwen, Wang Yijie, Wang Jing. Subway System Resilience Evaluation in Based on ANP-Extension Cloud Model[J]. Journal of System Simulation, 2021, 33(4): 943-950.

参考文献

[1] Holling C S.Resilience and Stability of Ecological Systems[J]. Annu Rev Ecol Systemat (S0066-4162), 1973, 4(1): 1-23.
[2] Hosseini S, Barker K.Modeling Infrastructure Resilience Using Bayesian Networks: A Case Study of Inland Waterway Ports[J]. Computers & Industrial Engineering (S0360-8352), 2016, 93: 252-266.
[3] 黄浪, 吴超, 王秉. 系统安全韧性的优化与评估建模[J]. 中国安全生产科学技术, 2016, 12(12): 15-21.
Huang Lang, Wu Chao, Wang Bing.Modeling on Shaping and Assessment of System Safety Resilience[J]. Journal of Safety Science and Technology, 2016, 12(12): 15-21.
[4] Yodo N, Wang P, Rafi M.Enabling Resilience of Complex Engineered Systems Using Control Theory[J]. IEEE Transactions on Reliability (S0018-9529), 2017, 67(1): 1-13.
[5] 李彤玥. 韧性城市研究新进展[J]. 国际城市规划, 2017, 32(5): 15-25.
Li Tongyue.New Progress in Study on Resilient Cities[J]. Urban Planning International, 2017, 32(5): 15-25.
[6] 陈群, 黄骞, 陈哲, 等. 基于贝叶斯网络的地铁工程系统韧性评价[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2018, 28(11): 98-103.
Chen Qun, Huang Qian, Chen Zhe, et al.Quantitative Evaluation of Resilience of Metro Engineering System based on Bayesian Networks[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2018, 28(11): 98-103.
[7] 孙宏才, 田平, 王莲芬. 网络层次分析法与决策科学[M]. 北京: 国防工业出版社, 2011.
Sun Hongcai, Tian Ping, Wang Lianfen.Network Analytic Hierarchy Process and Decision Science[M]. Beijing: National Defense Industry Press, 2011.
[8] 邢益瑞, 佟瑞鹏, 张孟春. 基于ANP的建筑安全管理绩效效评价框架研究[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2010, 20(4): 110-115.
Xing Yirui, Tong Ruipeng, Zhang Mengchun.Research on Performance Evaluation Framework of Building Safety Management Based on ANP[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2010, 20(4): 110-115.
[9] 蔡文, 杨春燕, 何斌. 可拓逻辑初步[M]. 北京: 科学出版社, 2003.
Cai Wen, Yang Chunyan, He Bin.Extension Logic Preliminary[M]. Beijing: Science Press, 2003.
[10] 李德毅, 孟海军. 隶属云和隶属云发生器[J]. 计算机研究和发展, 1995, 32(6): 16-21.
Li Deyi, Meng Haijun.Affiliated Cloud and Affiliated Cloud Generator[J]. Computer Research and Development, 1995, 32(6): 16-21.
[11] 胡涛, 王树宗, 杨建军. 基于云模型的物元综合评估方法[J]. 海军工程大学学报, 2006, 18(1): 85-88.
Hu Tao, Wang Shuzong, Yang Jianjun.Matter-element Integration Evaluation Method based on Cloud Model[J]. Journal of Naval University of Engineering, 2006, 18(1): 85-88.

基于ANP-可拓云模型的地铁系统韧性评价

Subway System Resilience Evaluation in Based on ANP-Extension Cloud Model

PDF (PC)

可视化

摘要/Abstract

引用本文

使用本文

参考文献

相关文章 0

编辑推荐

Metrics

本文评价