系统仿真学报 ›› 2026, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (10): 2773-2785.doi: 10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.26-0356

• 仿真建模与数字孪生 • 上一篇    下一篇

大模型驱动的武器装备供应链动员决策仿真方法

郭祺昌1, 张纪海1,2, 秦子楚1   

  1. 1.北京理工大学 管理学院,北京 100081
    2.北京理工大学 国家安全与发展研究院,北京 100081
  • 收稿日期:2026-04-23 修回日期:2026-06-23 出版日期:2026-10-31 发布日期:2026-10-20
  • 通讯作者: 张纪海
  • 第一作者简介:郭祺昌(1997-),男,博士生,研究方向为供应链管理、国民经济动员。

LLM-driven Simulation Method for Mobilization Decision-making in Weapons and Equipment Supply Chain

Guo Qichang1, Zhang Jihai1,2, Qin Zichu1   

  1. 1.School of Management, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing 100081, China
    2.Institute of National Security and Development Studies, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing 100081, China
  • Received:2026-04-23 Revised:2026-06-23 Online:2026-10-31 Published:2026-10-20
  • Contact: Zhang Jihai

摘要:

针对战时需求激增带来的武器装备供应链平战转换的现实问题,构建了LLM驱动的武器装备供应链生产动员多智能体仿真模型。模型由军方需求层、供应链执行层和动员决策层构成,引入LLM作为动员决策生成模块,描述战备预算与安全生产约束下的转扩产动态调控。仿真结果表明:LLM动员策略相较无动员和规则动员具有更优的交付表现与更高的战时订单满足率。将LLM嵌入仿真决策环,能够在约束条件下生成更具适应性的动员策略,为武器装备供应链动员仿真评估与辅助决策分析提供可行方法。

关键词: 武器装备供应链, 生产动员, LLM, 多智能体仿真, 平战转换

Abstract:

A LLM-driven multi-agent simulation model for production mobilization in the weapons and equipment supply chain is developed to address the practical challenge of transitioning the supply chain from peacetime to wartime production in response to surging wartime demand. The model consists of a military demand layer, a supply chain execution layer, and a mobilization decision-making layer. An LLM is incorporated as a mobilization decision generation module to represent the dynamic regulation of production conversion and expansion under war-readiness budget and production safety constraints. The simulation results show that compared with the no-mobilization and rule-based mobilization strategies, the LLM-based strategy achieves better delivery performance and a higher wartime order fulfillment rate. Embedding an LLM into the decision-making loop enables the simulation model to generate more adaptive mobilization strategies under constraints. The proposed method provides a feasible approach for simulation-based evaluation and decision-support analysis of production mobilization in the weapons and equipment supply chain.

Key words: weapons and equipment supply chain, production mobilization, large language model (LLM), multi-agent simulation, peacetime-to-wartime transition

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