地铁施工中隐患的传播及控制分析

doi:10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.19-0135

系统仿真学报 ›› 2020, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (8): 1617-1625.doi: 10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.19-0135

地铁施工中隐患的传播及控制分析

郭庆军, 闫竑宇, 李博森

西安工业大学建筑工程学院,陕西西安 710021

收稿日期:2019-04-01 修回日期:2019-12-11 出版日期:2020-08-18 发布日期:2020-08-13
作者简介:郭庆军(1978-), 男, 河南林州, 博士, 教授, 研究方向为土木工程建造与管理; 闫竑宇(1992-),女, 满, 河南南阳, 硕士, 研究方向为土木工程建造与管理。
基金资助:
陕西省软科学研究计划(2020KRM149)

Analysis of Risks Transmission and Control in Subway Construction

Guo Qingjun, Yan Hongyu, Li Bosen

School of Civil and Architecture Engineering, Xi’an Technological University, Xi’an 710021, China

Received:2019-04-01 Revised:2019-12-11 Online:2020-08-18 Published:2020-08-13

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 地铁施工中隐患的传播和管控过程与传染病的传播过程极为相似,众多元素相互关联、动态影响。基于工程实例,通过分析地铁施工现场复杂系统的特征,提出使用传播动力学模型描述元素间相互作用和传播的仿真方法。选取青岛地铁4号线某标段2017年3月份到8月份的危险源及隐患数据作为原始状态,使用MATLAB R2014a仿真计算,得到不同元素的密度变化规律,将元素由危险源状态到隐患状态再到受控状态的过程显性化,展示元素的传播及控制规律,采用外界措施对特殊节点进行干预,探索最优控制效果。

关键词: 隐患, 小世界网络, 传播动力学, 控制因子

Abstract: The process of the transmission and control of hidden dangers in subway construction is very similar to that of infectious diseases. Based on an engineering example, the characteristics of the complex system in the subway construction site are analyzed, and a simulation method using the propagation dynamics model to describe the interaction and propagation of various elements is proposed. Hazard source and hidden danger data of a section of Qingdao metro line 4 from march to August 2017 are selected as the original state, using by MATLAB R2014a simulation calculation, the densities of different elements are gotten, the process of the element changed from the hazards state to the hidden state and to the controlled state is innovated, the spread and control law of the elements are displayed, the measures are adopted the special nodes are intervened, the optimal control effect is explored.

Key words: hidden trouble, small world network, propagation dynamics, control factor

中图分类号:

F272.3

郭庆军, 闫竑宇, 李博森. 地铁施工中隐患的传播及控制分析[J]. 系统仿真学报, 2020, 32(8): 1617-1625.

Guo Qingjun, Yan Hongyu, Li Bosen. Analysis of Risks Transmission and Control in Subway Construction[J]. Journal of System Simulation, 2020, 32(8): 1617-1625.

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地铁施工中隐患的传播及控制分析

Analysis of Risks Transmission and Control in Subway Construction

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