系统仿真学报 ›› 2020, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (4): 718-726.doi: 10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.18-0379

• 国家安全仿真 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于效果作战的武器系统组合效费分析

钟麟1, 佟明安2, 张健1, 梁建海1   

  1. 1. 西京学院理学院,陕西 西安 710123;
    2. 西北工业大学电子信息学院 陕西 西安 710072
  • 收稿日期:2018-06-20 修回日期:2018-10-25 出版日期:2020-04-18 发布日期:2020-04-16
  • 作者简介:钟麟(1975-),男,江西宜春,博士,讲师,研究方向为复杂系统建模等;佟明安(1936-),辽宁男,教授,研究方向为航空火力控制等;张健(1964-),陕西西安,男,硕士,副教授,研究方向为航路规划等。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金(61371163)

Cost-Efficiency Analysis of Weapon System Portfolios for Effect Based Operation

Zhong Lin1, Tong Mingan2, Zhang Jian1, Liang Jianhai1   

  1. 1. College of Science, Xijing University, Xi’an 710123, China;
    2.Northwestern Polytechnical University, Xi’an 710072, China;
  • Received:2018-06-20 Revised:2018-10-25 Online:2020-04-18 Published:2020-04-16

摘要: 武器系统效费分析多用于基于靶基研究中,同时没有考虑到武器系统之间的相互影响以及偏好不确定性情况。提出了一种基于效果作战的武器系统组合效费分析方法。基于效果作战的武器系统分配框架结构,运用贝叶斯网络建立目标与效果的联系,利用鲁棒投资组合模型对武器系统组合效费进行建模。针对鲁棒投资组合问题计算量大的问题,提出了一种基于切比雪夫范数和线性整数规划近似算法。仿真结果说明了所提出的方法的有效性。

关键词: 基于效果作战, 费效分析, 武器系统, 鲁棒投资组合

Abstract: In considertion of the cost-efficiency analysis of weapon system mainly for the target based operation, the uncertainties about preferences and possible interactions of different weapon systems, a cost-efficiency analysis method weapon system portfolios for effect based operation is presented. The framework of weapon system assignment for effect based operation is presented, the Bayesian network is used to build up the connection between effects and targets, and the cost-efficiency analysis model based on robust portfolio optimization is carried out. In view of the combinatorial explosion, the approximation algorithm based on the Tchebycheff norm and the linear integer programming is proposed. The simulation results show the method is effective.

Key words: effect based operation, cost-efficiency analysis, weapon system, robust portfolio

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