基于效能仿真建模的多目标拦截方案优化

doi:10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.24-0760

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

防空武器装备面临的空袭场景呈现出饱和化、多样化和智能化的趋势，如何建立多目标拦截效能模型以及如何依据仿真优化拦截方案非常重要。现有拦截效能指标多考虑整个作战过程，无法指导具体拦截轮次的拦截方案寻优；拦截方案生成主要依赖于经验和简单数学模型，难以应对愈加复杂多变的战场环境。因此，提出了综合考虑拦截概率和拦截距离的拦截方案有利度指标，并采用了基于改进贪心算法的拦截方案优化方法优化拦截方案，通过仿真验证了根据拦截方案有利度寻优的可行性和寻优算法的有效性。通过蒙特卡罗仿真分析了拦截方案有利度公式中加权系数的不同取值对决策结果的影响，并提出了不同作战目的下的取值建议。

关键词: 多目标拦截效能, 拦截方案, 高概率拦截, 尽远拦截, 改进贪心算法

Abstract:

The air attack scenarios faced by air defense weapons and equipment show the trend of saturation, diversification and intelligence. It is very important to establish multi-target interception efficiency model and optimize interception scheme according to simulation. The current intercepting efficiency index mainly considers the whole operation process, and can not guide the optimization of the intercepting scheme of specific intercepting rounds. The generation of interception schemes mainly relies on experience and simple mathematical model, which is difficult to cope with the increasingly complex and changeable battlefield environment. Therefore, an interception scheme advantage index that comprehensively considers interception probability and interception distance is proposed, and an interception scheme optimization method based on improved greedy algorithm is adopted to optimize the interception scheme. Through simulation, the feasibility and effectiveness of the optimization algorithm based on the interception scheme advantage are verified. Monte Carlo simulation is used to analyze the influence of different values of weighted coefficients in the interception scheme's advantage formula on the decision result, and the suggestions for different operational purposes are put forward.

Key words: multi-target interception effectiveness, intercept project, high probability intercept, long range intercept, improved greedy algorithm

中图分类号:

TP319.9

刘汉文,卓志敏,杨雪 . 基于效能仿真建模的多目标拦截方案优化[J]. 系统仿真学报, 2025, 37(9): 2366-2374.

Liu Hanwen,Zhuo Zhimin,Yang Xue . Optimization of Multi-target Interception Scheme Based on Performance Simulation Modeling[J]. Journal of System Simulation, 2025, 37(9): 2366-2374.

图/表 9

图1

图2

表1

图3

图4

图5

图6

表2

不同加权系数对有利度影响

$λ$	尽远拦截	高概率拦截	改进贪心算法拦截
0	1 450.2	586.0	1 377.7
0.1	1 277.2	599.5	1 205.6
0.2	1 162.6	727.4	1 113.0
0.3	1 009.0	704.9	996.1
0.4	906.5	837.1	911.9
0.5	851.3	768.8	1 059.0
0.6	623.8	1 062.0	1 145.7
0.7	542.3	1 070.5	1 179.8
0.8	510.6	1 100.3	1 096.2
0.9	457.1	1 147.6	1 146.4
1	175.6	1 300.8	1 258.6

表2

图7

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