一种航空投送系统贡献度评估与关键装备辨识方法

doi:10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.25-0913E

系统仿真学报 ›› 2026, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (8): 2223-2249.doi: 10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.25-0913E

一种航空投送系统贡献度评估与关键装备辨识方法

刘小锋¹^,²^,³, 姜成泽⁴, 陈星宇¹^,²^,³, 江德印⁵, 尚柏林¹^,²^,³, 宋笔锋¹^,²^,³

^1.西北工业大学航空学院，陕西西安 710012
^2.飞行器基础布局全国重点实验室，陕西西安 710012
^3.飞行器体系贡献度与综合设计工信部重点实验室，陕西西安 710072
^4.航天科工智能运筹与信息安全研究院(武汉)有限公司，湖北武汉 430000
^5.长安大学汽车学院，陕西西安 710064

收稿日期:2025-09-18 修回日期:2025-12-26 出版日期:2026-08-28 发布日期:2026-08-31
通讯作者: 尚柏林

A Method for Assessing the Contribution Degree of an Aviation Delivery System and Identifying Key Equipment

Liu Xiaofeng¹^,²^,³, Jiang Chengze⁴, Chen Xingyu¹^,²^,³, Jiang Deyin⁵, Shang Bolin¹^,²^,³, Song Bifeng¹^,²^,³

^1.School of Aeronautics, Northwestern Polytechnical University, Xi'an 710012, China
^2.National Key Laboratory of Aircraft Con?guration Design, Xi'an 710072, China
^3.Key Laboratory of Aircraft System of Systems Contribution and Synthetic Design, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Xi'an 710072, China)4. Aisino Intelligent Operations Research and Information Security Research Institute (Wuhan) Co. , Wuhan 430000, China
^5.School of Automobile, Chang'an University, Xi'an 710064, China

Received:2025-09-18 Revised:2025-12-26 Online:2026-08-28 Published:2026-08-31
Contact: Shang Bolin
About author:Liu Xiaofeng (1968-), male, researcher, PhD, research area: aircraft design and manufacturing.
Supported by:
National Science and Technology Major Project(J2019-IV-0017-0085);Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities, CHD(300102225104);China Postdoctoral Science Foundation(2025M770894)

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

基于航空投送效率和投送质量，构建了一种通用的航空投送系统有效性评估模型，并给出了基于效率的系统贡献度计算方法。结合基于ABMS的系统计算实验和模拟实验，整理出针对关键装备识别和装备技术发展趋势分析的蒙特卡罗模拟实验的设计思路，提出了基于ABMS的关键装备识别方法和贡献评估方法。以洲际远程航空投送任务为例，设计了多种模拟实验来评估该系统的贡献程度，并基于效率指标的模拟数据进行分析，以了解设备变化对效率和贡献程度的影响以及贡献机制，确定关键设备并确定设备技术的发展趋势。

关键词: 航空投送系统, 系统贡献度, ABMS(agent-based modeling and simulation), 架构建模分析

Abstract:

Based on the delivery efficiency and delivery quality, a general aviation delivery system effectiveness evaluation model was constructed, and a calculation method of system contribution degree based on efficiency was given. By combining the system calculation experiment and simulation experiment based on agent-based modeling and simulation (ABMS), the design idea of the Monte Carlo simulation experiment for key equipment identification and equipment technology development trend analysis was sorted out, and the key equipment identification method based on ABMS and contribution evaluation was proposed. By taking the intercontinental long-range aviation delivery mission as an example, a variety of simulation experiments were designed to evaluate the contribution degree of the system based on the simulation data of the efficiency index, analyze the impact of equipment changes on the efficiency and contribution degree and the contribution mechanism, identify the key equipment, and determine the development trend of equipment technology.

Key words: aviation delivery system, system contribution degree, agent-based modeling and simulation (ABMS), architecture modeling analysis

中图分类号:

V221

刘小锋,姜成泽,陈星宇等 . 一种航空投送系统贡献度评估与关键装备辨识方法[J]. 系统仿真学报, 2026, 38(8): 2223-2249.

Liu Xiaofeng,Jiang Chengze,Chen Xingyu,et al . A Method for Assessing the Contribution Degree of an Aviation Delivery System and Identifying Key Equipment[J]. Journal of System Simulation, 2026, 38(8): 2223-2249.

图/表 20

参考文献 32

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Objects	Parameters	Numerical value
Sub-strategic transport aircraft	Cruising speed/(km/h)	750
	Maximum load	60 t/200 men (0.11 t/person)
	Voyage	4 200 km fully loaded
	Amount of oil/ t	84
	Loading and unloading time for individual supply pallet	Triangular(20, 30, 25) min
	Maximum number of trays to carry	60
Heavy strategic transport aircraft	Cruising speed/(km/h)	800
	Maximum load/t	120
	Voyage	4 000 km fully loaded
	Amount of oil/t	230
	Loading and unloading time for individual supply pallet	Triangular (20, 30, 25) min
	Maximum number of trays to carry	120
Loading platform shuttles	Carrying capacity/t	10
	Conveyor belt speed(m/s)	0.1
	Length/m	12.6
	Maximum number of pallets carrying supplies	10
	Preparation time before loading and unloading	Triangular (1, 2, 1.5) min
Airdrop mission plan	Material requirements/t Mission time/h	3 000 96
Environment	Distance between loading airfield and securing airfield/km	3 153
	Distance between securing airfield and destination airfield/km	3 313
	Total voyage/km	6 466
	Aircraft take-off interval/min	≥10
	Time of arrival at the loading airfield	uniform_discr (15，20) min
	Take-off/landing time of the transport aircraft	uniform_discr (15，20) min
Securing airfield	Amount of sub-strategic transport aircraft	10
Securing airfield	Amount of heavy strategic transport aircraft	6
Loading airfield	Amount of loading platform shuttles	5
Loading airfield	Transferring time from warehouse to loading area	uniform_discr (6, 10) min
Unloading airfield	Amount of loading platform shuttles	5
Unloading airfield	Transferring time from warehouse to loading area	uniform_discr (7, 13) min
Supply tray	Weight/t	1
Supply tray	Size/ m	1.0×1.2×1.5

Index variables	Minimum	Maximum	Step size	Number of experiment points
Speed v/(km/h)	800	900	10	11
Load m/t	120	180	10	7

Experiment	Gear changes	Amount of simulation of experiment point
A	Original equipment system	100
B	Standardization of loading platform ferries	100
C	The loading and unloading time of transport aircraft is shortened to 1-2 h	100
D	The loading and unloading time of transport aircraft is shortened to 1-2 h, and the loading and unloading platform shuttles are standardized	100

Experimental sites	Equipment changes
1	Original equipment system
2	Standardized loading platform shuttles
3	The loading and unloading time of transport vehicles has been shortened to 1-2 h
4	The maximum load of the transport aircraft is 120 t, and the speed is 900 km/h
5	The maximum load of the transport aircraft is 180 t, and the speed is 800 km/h
6	The loading and unloading time of the transport aircraft is shortened to 1-2 h, and the loading and unloading platform is standardized. The maximum load of the transport aircraft is 180 t, and the speed is 900 km/h

一种航空投送系统贡献度评估与关键装备辨识方法

A Method for Assessing the Contribution Degree of an Aviation Delivery System and Identifying Key Equipment

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