农户安全生产行为决策仿真研究

doi:10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.201804017

系统仿真学报 ›› 2018, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (4): 1347-1360.doi: 10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.201804017

农户安全生产行为决策仿真研究

崔丽, 罗丽平

北京工商大学商学院,北京 100048

收稿日期:2017-04-06 修回日期:2017-06-07 出版日期:2018-04-08 发布日期:2019-01-04
作者简介:崔丽(1977-),女,河北保定,博士,副教授,研究方向为农产品质量安全、供应链管理。
基金资助:
国家科技支撑计划“十二五”农村领域国家科技计划(2015BAD18B01), 国家社会科学基金(15BGL202), 科技部科技支撑项目(2015BAD18B05- 04)

Decision-making Simulation of Farmers’ Safe Production Behavior

Cui Li, Luo Liping

Business School, Beijing Technology and Business University, Beijing 100048, China

Received:2017-04-06 Revised:2017-06-07 Online:2018-04-08 Published:2019-01-04

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 农户安全生产是农产品质量安全的源头,研究影响农户安全生产行为决策的因素是控制农产品质量安全的首要任务。根据计划行为理论探讨影响农户安全生产行为决策的因素,通过成本-收益理论构建农户安全生产行为决策模型,对模型进行仿真分析,从定量化的角度揭示了各因素对农户安全生产行为决策的具体影响。Netlogo仿真结果表明农户受教育水平、政府惩罚方式与力度、参加生产组织与否、生产规模和农产品抽检率等因素均对农户安全生产行为决策有显著影响。

关键词: 农产品, 质量安全, 农户行为, Netlogo仿真

Abstract: Farmers' production behavior is the source of quality and safety of agricultural products,and the primary task to control the quality and safety of agricultural products is to research the factors affecting farmers’ behavior for safe production. We explored the factors influencing farmers’ decision-making for safe production behavior based on the theory of planned behavior and established the model of farmers' decision-making for safe production behavior based on cost-benefit theory. The model which was simulated and analyzed revealed the specific impact on farmers' safe production behavior decision from every influence factor in the quantitative point of view. Results of Netlogo simulation show that farmers’ decision-making for safe production is affected by education level of farmers, production volume, participation in production organization and government regulation including punishment policy and supervision sampling rate.

Key words: agricultural products, quality and safety, farmers behavior, Netlogo simulation

中图分类号:

TP391.9

崔丽, 罗丽平. 农户安全生产行为决策仿真研究[J]. 系统仿真学报, 2018, 30(4): 1347-1360.

Cui Li, Luo Liping. Decision-making Simulation of Farmers’ Safe Production Behavior[J]. Journal of System Simulation, 2018, 30(4): 1347-1360.

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农户安全生产行为决策仿真研究

Decision-making Simulation of Farmers’ Safe Production Behavior

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